You stare at the final question. You are tired and the words seem to melt into all the ones that came before them. You are not quite sure what the answer is but a sense of relief starts to well up inside; you finally made it to the end.
You take your best educated guess and you scratch the graphite into the final circle. You flick through the packet of paper one last time, put away your pencil and calculator, and head to the front of the classroom.
After handing in your exam, you step outside and the winter air instantly brings you back to life. As the snow silently falls around you, you smile and breathe the fresh air deep into your lungs. You’re done with exams, done with school, and you have only one thing left to think about…Santa.
Okay, it didn’t happen exactly like that but I did just finish my last class for the year and it feels really good!
As I wrote about in the Free Ivy League Degree article, I am currently pursuing a master’s degree part time while I work full time.
It is definitely a lot of work but it is also really rewarding. This past term highlighted how lucky I am to be pursuing this degree because I had the privilege of taking a real estate investment course at one of the top business schools in the world. It was one of the best classes I’ve ever taken and since the material is still so fresh in my mind, I figured I’d share with you some of the key takeaways from the course.
While we explored some interesting real estate case studies, did a lot of modeling and cash flow analyses, and covered some really interesting real estate topics, I’m not actually going to focus on what I learned about real estate. Instead, I’m going to discuss some of the bigger ideas that came up in the course that can be applied to many different types of businesses and investments. In each class I found myself scribbling some key nuggets of wisdom that I wanted to remember so here are a few of my favorites…
Low Risk/High Reward
Most of us probably understand that investments with the possibility of high reward usually come with high risk. While risk and reward normally go together, you don’t necessarily have to accept the high risk. In real estate, as in other types of businesses, the truly successful people are those who are able to identify the high risk/high reward investments that allow them to use their expertise to mitigate most of the risks.
Rather than simply accept higher risk when attempting to achieve higher reward, think about what you are good at and find investments that will allow you to use your knowledge and experience to create low risk/high reward investments.
Money is made when you buy, not when you sell
The profitability of an investment is usually determined by your purchase price, not the selling price. When you sell, you are simply at the mercy of the market and can expect to receive the market value for your investment. To maximize profits, you need to make sure you obtain the best price when you buy the investment.
A quote that I wrote down during one of the lectures was, “Low cost basis can right a lot of wrongs.” Even if some of your assumptions are incorrect or if you make some mistakes along the way, you can still be profitable if you got a really good deal on the investment when you bought it.
For example, if you buy a foreclosed warehouse for a fraction of what it would cost to build an identical warehouse, even if you make mistakes when acquiring tenants and your vacancy rate is higher than you predicted, it’s possible you’ll still be in a position to make a solid profit due to the fact that you bought the property for pennies on the dollar.
Negotiation
The previous topic leads nicely into another topic that was frequently discussed: negotiation.
- Ultimate power is the ability to walk away
The buyer is usually in a much more powerful negotiating position because they are simply able to walk away at any time. Buyers who recognize this can use the ability to walk away to their advantage during negotiations. - Don’t make concessions without extracting something
It’s okay to make concessions in a negotiation but just ensure that you are able to extract something valuable when you do so. For example, if when purchasing a house the sellers make a counter offer that is higher than your initial offer, it is okay to increase your offer but when you do, try to get something else thrown into the deal that you want (appliances, earlier closing date, etc.). Negotiation is a give-and-take so it’s okay if you give a little as long as you’re taking something at the same time. - Use information to build credibility
Knowledge is power in negotiations so always make sure you do extensive research before heading into a negotiation.I actually used this tactic when I purchased a used car a few weekends ago. I did a lot of research on the car that I was hoping to purchase and then emailed the dealership to present the amount I was willing to pay for the car. In my email, I described the data that went into computing the price and the reasoning behind my calculations. Only when they agreed on my price did I go in to the dealership.
After test driving the car, I noticed that the tires were bald so I lowered my number further to account for the fact that I’d have to replace the tires. The salesman said to me, “look, my manager already lowered the price more than I thought he would allow me to so I assure you that you are getting the best price.” My reply was, “we agreed on a fair price under the assumption that the car was in clean condition…bald tires were not expected so obviously if I was willing to pay x for the car before, it is understandable that I am only willing to pay x – $500 now.
Since I had built credibility by presenting the information I used to compute the fair price, there really wasn’t any way for him to argue with me at that point. He spoke with his manager again, they agreed on the new price, and we bought the car. Had I just picked a number out of thin air without doing any research, it would have been very easy for him to say, “oh, the extremely low price takes into account the bald tires” and I wouldn’t have had any way to argue otherwise.
Plan for worst case scenario
It’s important to assume the worst and plan for it accordingly. If you run the numbers and your investment will still be profitable in the worst-case scenario, you’ll feel a lot more confident proceeding with the deal.
That’s not to say you should plan for armageddon or even another financial meltdown but if you think that rents have a 90% probability of being between $100 and $125 per square foot, make sure you are still profitable when running the numbers at $100.
Recognize Cycles
Real estate, as well as many other types of businesses, are cyclical. Even though it may feel like the good/bad times will last forever, they never do. If you can recognize when people are overly optimistic/pessimistic and can get a sense for when the tides are about to change, you can position yourself to profit when others are losing their shirts.
Align Incentives
When entering any sort of agreement where multiple parties are involved, make sure that everyones’ incentives are aligned.
When I bought my first house and needed to replace my bathroom, I did a bad job of aligning incentives with my contractors. I paid too much money up front so the plumbers had no real incentive to do the work quickly. It made more sense for them to work on a different job that they hadn’t yet been paid for so we spent weeks without a working bathroom.
Think Outside the Box
For beginning real estate investors, the most common investment is usually some type of residential property (single-family home, duplex, etc.). While these investments can be good for first-time investors, there are many other types of real estate that could potentially be more profitable.
For example, industrial/warehouse space could potentially provide higher, more consistent returns so rather than only focusing on finding the most attractive residential investment, it may be worthwhile to investigate entirely different and less obvious types of assets.
Deliberate vs. Emergent Strategies
No matter how much planning you do up front, things are going to happen that you weren’t expecting. When they do, it sometimes forces you to completely change direction and develop a new strategy. As long as you are flexible and don’t try to force yourself to stick to the deliberate strategy when it is no longer effective, you can still profit from the emergent strategies.
Barriers to Competition
When choosing investments or starting businesses, think about how hard it would be for competitors to enter the market.
If you are planning to develop a new retail store in the center of a city but anticipate many zoning headaches, for example, even though those headaches will be a pain to you initially, you could eventually benefit from the stricter zoning regulations. If you are able to tackle the rezoning process and complete the project successfully, the project will end up being that much more valuable after you do because it will be difficult for a competitor to complete a similar project.
Conclusion
In the final class, the professor offered some general advice to the MBA students as they prepare to enter the business world. His final slide contained the following quote (if you follow me on Twitter, you will have already seen this):
“Today’s mighty oak is just yesterday’s nut that held its ground.”
Sometimes it’s when everyone is telling you that you’re crazy that you will find the most success. Hopefully during those times, you’ll have the confidence and resolve to hold your ground in order to see what grows.
of course, for every nut that held its ground, thousands more were squirrel food.
Not sure what that little nugget suggests…..
I am sure I liked your post and wish I’d been able to take that class.
Not to mention, watch you negotiate that car. :)
Haha, maybe the lesson is to just bury your head as deep in the sand as you can and hope you get lucky!
You wouldn’t have wanted to watch me negotiate for that car…it wasn’t pretty. By the end of it all, the salesman was crying hysterically, his manager was trying his best to console him, and I was driving victory laps around the dealership, honking my horn in celebration
why wouldn’t I want to watch THAT??!!
“Make money when you buy, not when you sell” is one of the most important business/real estate lessons I’ve ever learned. Too many people make a mistake upfront and then hope the market will rescue them.
“Ultimate negotiating power = walking away” is another great one. When I negotiated for the URL for my site, affordanything.com, I KNEW I had the weaker hand because I wanted that very specific URL and I wasn’t willing to go home without it.
Paula, thanks for stopping by. I’m a big fan of your writing (see my blogroll) so it was a nice surprise to see you chime in on one of my articles.
As far as relying on the market to rescue a bad investment, sadly I imagine a lot of people learned that lesson the hard way over the last five years.
I luckily didn’t have to negotiate for my domain because I just decided to go the “I’m going to make up a new word” route, haha. AffordAnything.com is a great domain though and is perfect for what you write about so I’m sure it was a good investment no matter what you paid for it.
Investing in real estate requires you hone your art of negotiations. Many times, in my real estate investment, I have walked away by giving seller what he wanted by structuring better terms or vice versa.
I wish we would have had more time today to discuss some of your negotiations. I imagine with all of the hotel deals you’ve done, you probably have some pretty good stories!
That’s for sure!
I would love another blog post expanding on the car purchase. Going through exactly what you need to do to calculate the price you want to offer – then do you lowball a little on your initial email offer? Finally, what is the checklist of things you should check out when you see the car that will make you adjust your offer (and by how much for each item, like the bald tires).
Thanks! This is quickly becoming one of my favorite FI blogs!
I actually know very little about cars (which is one of the reasons I hate them so much) so my valuation method wasn’t very sophisticated.
I think I just checked some of the car valuation sites (e.g. kbb.com, edmunds.com, etc.) and whichever one had the lowest valuation, I used that as my base. I then adjusted that base (always downward) using the specifics of the car in question on the dealer’s website.
After I got a number, I then compared that number with other cars in my area that were for sale to make sure it actually was an accurate price (and a good deal).
I then sent that number to the dealer with the reasoning behind the offer. By providing all of those facts in my email and describing how I came up with the number, it was very hard for the dealer to argue a higher price without giving justification for the higher price.
As far as what I checked when I actually got to the dealership, I just looked at the obvious things (this is where my lack of car knowledge hurts me). The tires were obviously bald so that was easy to spot in this particular case and since I’ve bought a new set of tires before, I knew how much to decrease my offer by.
I also went in at the very end of the day so I imagine that helped too. We were the only ones still in the dealership during the negotiation and I made it very clear I was in no hurry. After negotiating with the salesman for a while, who would then go back to “check with the manager”, the manager just came out to talk to me directly (most likely so that he could seal the deal sooner and get home to his family).
I’m glad you’re enjoying it around here! Thanks a lot for commenting!
That sounds great. I am a car novice myself (and have a similar disdain for them). This is definitely helpful for when I need my next one.